When there is barely a month left to officially conclude the season of hurricanesa possible cyclone “left-handed” could develop in the Caribbean Sea and generate a movement towards the north or northeast towards the center of the Caribbean Sea.
They are popularly called “cyclone left-handed” to cyclonic systems that move from west to east, while systems considered normal move from east to west, such as when they come from Africa towards the Caribbean.
He National Center United States Hurricane Report (CNH) foresees the development of a large area of low pressure over the southwest of Caribbean Sea in a couple of days (Thursday).
“It is possible that from then on it will gradually develop and a tropical depression (cyclone tropical) later this week or over the weekend (Saturday – Sunday) as the system begins to move north or northeast toward the center of the Caribbean Sea“, indicates the report of the CNH this Tuesday on the system located south of Jamaica.
Although we cannot yet speak of any projection either pathhe CNH marks an orange area that covers part of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. Please note that the orange area included in the graph is not a forecast of pathbut represents the potential area of training.
Currently the system has a probability average of training for seven days it is 40% and for 48 hours it drops to close to 0%.
The next cyclone tropical to form would be called Patty which is the name next on the list of the season of hurricanes.
November
If it develops at the end of this week, the month of Novemberthe last month of the season of hurricanes and which remembered by the Dominicans for the rains which by this time have affected the country in both 2022 and 2023.
It is remembered that on the 4th November of 2022, after 5:00 in the afternoon a cloud began to fall rain intense flood that flooded a large part of the capital of the Dominican Republic, causing rivers in the capital to overflow, and houses to begin to flood, affecting the storm drainage system and the capital’s sewage system.
Already in 2023, on Saturday the 18th November accumulations of rain of 431 millimeters of water in sectors of the capital as a result of a tropical disturbance.
How many cyclones have formed this season?
The season of hurricanes 2024 began on June 1 and ends on June 30. November and in the five months it has been running, 15 have already been formed cyclones tropical and also a possible cyclone tropical 8.
These cyclones tropical there have been 10 hurricanes and five tropical storms. The hurricanes who have been trained are Beryl (senior category), Debby, Ernesto, Francine, Helene (senior category), Isaac, Kirk (senior category), Leslie, Milton (senior category) and Oscar. The tropical storms are: Alberto, Chris, Gordon, Joyce and Nadine.
Forecasters from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAAin English) of the United States had predicted an activity of hurricanes above normal in the Atlantic basin this year with the possibility of up to 13 hurricanesof which up to seven can be older.
According to the NOAA This year a total of between 17 and 25 storms may form.
