The 2024 hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean could be one of the most intense on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States.
The agency has forecast “above normal activity,” with more than 20 tropical storms expected in the next five months. The hurricane period, which runs from June 1 to November 30, has an 85% probability of being more active than usual.
NOAA anticipates the formation of between 17 and 25 named tropical storms, a record number in the organization’s 154-year history. Of these, between 8 and 13 are expected to become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or greater, and 4 to 7 of these hurricanes could reach significant scales, including reaching Category 3, 4, or 5, with winds of 111 mph. or more.
The main causes of this high cyclonic activity include the La Niña phenomenon and warmer than average ocean temperatures. According to NOAA scientists, the transition from El Niño to La Niña favors the development of cyclones. Other factors include reduced trade winds and lower wind shear, which facilitate the formation and strengthening of storms.
Ken Graham, director of the National Weather Service, said: “There is reason to be concerned, but not alarmed. Yes, it’s the highest number, but it’s all about being prepared, right? So now is the time to be prepared.”
The most destructive hurricane season on record in the United States was in 2005, with 28 named storms and a record 15 hurricanes, of which seven made landfall. That aggressive season, which included Hurricane Katrina, was also driven by La Niña and elevated sea surface temperatures, conditions similar to those expected this year.
How do I report it? REPORTUR.mx, The National Meteorological Service has warned about the formation of a new low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico, which has a high probability of becoming tropical cyclone “Beryl” in the coming hours. That is why intense rains are expected in the Yucatan Peninsula, the southeast, east, center and northeast of the country starting this Saturday. (Fear on the coasts of Mexico of ‘Berly’, a new tropical cyclone).
